Today President Obama announced his plans for Afghanistan, in response to General McChrystal's request for 40,000 more troops. Many military experts criticized the General's request as paltry considering that a true counterinsurgency strategy required significantly more troops. Anyway, the President basically said that we have the resurgence of the Taliban and Al Qaeda which is a tremendous security risk for America so we need a surge and we have a coalition of the willing. Except, he assured us that this would not be an open ended commitment. What does that sound like? I'm afraid that "Bush-lite" is really going to stick on this one.
Essentially, President Obama plans to send 30,000 troops within the next 6 months. Apparently NATO will send some as well, for some 43 nations are in support of our surge. NATO is expected to make an announcement later this week. The President did not refer to his strategy as a surge but that is essentially what it is, for in the summer of 2011 he plans to start drawing down troops. But what happens if things take another turn for the worse like in Iraq where our military surged and then surged again?
The cost of the surge is estimated at $30,000,000,000. The new number circulating is that the war costs $1,000,000 per soldier. Obviously this is a disingenuous number calculated by dividing the total cost of the war by the number of troops; it is the military equipment that is costly not the individual soldier. The rationale for the President's strategy is that we need to re-take some geography from the Taliban and Al Qaeda and train more Afghan security forces before we can leave. Those of us who wanted to end the war sooner than later will be disappointed. Those of us who wanted the full troop assignment (and then some) will also be disappointed.
Showing posts with label War. Show all posts
Showing posts with label War. Show all posts
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Afghanistan: Graveyard of Foreign Armies
I don't like to weigh in about war because I do not like war and the rationale for war. I thought the entry into Iraq was a bad idea and the obvious contrivances foisted upon us in the run up to the war had me shouting at the television. Then George Bush threw down the gauntlet, we were either with him or against him and Rummy (Donald Rumsfeld) enthralled us with his surefire shock and awe strategy and the next minute we were watching the biggest fireworks show ever, the bombing of Baghdad.
The whole thing was supposed to be easy, the mighty pyrotechnical weaponry of the greatest and most expensive army in the world would take out Saddam Hussein and his weapons of mass destruction and deliver unto the Iraqis a freely democratic state that would also serve as an American foothold in the region. Six and half years later, we are still there. Are we?
There has not been much press on the Iraq War lately because the Iraq War, all that it is, ended up being a very expensive trillion dollar distraction, siphoning off troops and resources from the war in Afghanistan, where we were fighting the good fight against Al Qaeda and Osama Bin Laden, the architect of the September 11, 2001 terror attacks, and their state sanctioned sponsor the Taliban. Now, Afghanistan is front and center again, for eight years later, we are still there as well.
Both the Iraq and Afghan wars are of the same ilk. We invaded sovereign nations, destabilized their dictatorial regimes, tried to impose a system of democracy that resulted in weak, ineffectual and corrupt governments and where we have whipped up brutal insurgencies. Now, if we pull out, both of these fledgling states, Iraq and Afghanistan, can easily be overrun by power-hungry anti-American factions that will reverse all of our efforts, undermine our foothold in the region and imperil the lives of the inhabitants, not to mention becoming full out breeding grounds for terrorist cells.
The only existing military logic is to hold the line against insurgency by sending in more troops and training the national armies to manage the fight themselves allowing us to withdraw. We have been training the Afghans and the Iraqis for eight years and six years respectively and their armies are still not ready to take the reins. We send our soldiers into battle after six weeks of basic training but it seems virtually impossible to bring those national armies up to speed.
We are supposed to draw down troops in Iraq next year and right now, I don't know if that is still the plan. Whatever the case General McChrystal has now asked his Commander-in-Chief for 44,000 more troops in Afghanistan. Sending more troops will be a tacit acceptance of prolonged war. We must note here that Afghanistan has been known as the "graveyard of foreign armies" for several hundred years. Historically, foreign armies, including the British and the Russians, have jeopardized their empires trying to defeat the Afghans in lengthy contests, without success.
We cannot continue to fund both of these wars as we have already gone into considerable debt funding them and if we continue, in light of the current deficits and amid our current economic collapse, we run the risk of utter financial ruin. The President has a hard choice but in the end, I think, he should not send more troops. He should let the military manage with what they have while finding a solution for America to withdraw as expeditiously as possible before we all go down in flames.
The whole thing was supposed to be easy, the mighty pyrotechnical weaponry of the greatest and most expensive army in the world would take out Saddam Hussein and his weapons of mass destruction and deliver unto the Iraqis a freely democratic state that would also serve as an American foothold in the region. Six and half years later, we are still there. Are we?
There has not been much press on the Iraq War lately because the Iraq War, all that it is, ended up being a very expensive trillion dollar distraction, siphoning off troops and resources from the war in Afghanistan, where we were fighting the good fight against Al Qaeda and Osama Bin Laden, the architect of the September 11, 2001 terror attacks, and their state sanctioned sponsor the Taliban. Now, Afghanistan is front and center again, for eight years later, we are still there as well.
Both the Iraq and Afghan wars are of the same ilk. We invaded sovereign nations, destabilized their dictatorial regimes, tried to impose a system of democracy that resulted in weak, ineffectual and corrupt governments and where we have whipped up brutal insurgencies. Now, if we pull out, both of these fledgling states, Iraq and Afghanistan, can easily be overrun by power-hungry anti-American factions that will reverse all of our efforts, undermine our foothold in the region and imperil the lives of the inhabitants, not to mention becoming full out breeding grounds for terrorist cells.
The only existing military logic is to hold the line against insurgency by sending in more troops and training the national armies to manage the fight themselves allowing us to withdraw. We have been training the Afghans and the Iraqis for eight years and six years respectively and their armies are still not ready to take the reins. We send our soldiers into battle after six weeks of basic training but it seems virtually impossible to bring those national armies up to speed.
We are supposed to draw down troops in Iraq next year and right now, I don't know if that is still the plan. Whatever the case General McChrystal has now asked his Commander-in-Chief for 44,000 more troops in Afghanistan. Sending more troops will be a tacit acceptance of prolonged war. We must note here that Afghanistan has been known as the "graveyard of foreign armies" for several hundred years. Historically, foreign armies, including the British and the Russians, have jeopardized their empires trying to defeat the Afghans in lengthy contests, without success.
We cannot continue to fund both of these wars as we have already gone into considerable debt funding them and if we continue, in light of the current deficits and amid our current economic collapse, we run the risk of utter financial ruin. The President has a hard choice but in the end, I think, he should not send more troops. He should let the military manage with what they have while finding a solution for America to withdraw as expeditiously as possible before we all go down in flames.
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