The drama of the news of the last few days has been astounding. Is there a reason to watch anything else? No other dramas, scripted or unscripted, have been quite so compelling as the news. It is like the whole country has become completely unhinged. The flagrant disregard for truth has turned everything into a side show. George Bush and his administration had such disdain for the truth that it has permeated the very fabric of our beings; John
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
The Heights of Drama
Monday, September 29, 2008
What a Difference a Weekend Makes...
The Bailout Fails: In a vote of 228 Nay vs. 205 Yea, the House of Representatives failed to pass the $700 billion bailout package with a resounding 2 to 1 nay on the part of the Republicans. Thank you Republicans. There, I said it. I am happy this bill did not pass because I did not know all of the details and I think it was too large a sum to make such a hasty decision.
I understand that this is really about Commercial Paper and not bailing out Wall Street but then don't put forth a bill with little explanation granting vast powers to Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, who is from Wall Street and has private interests (mainly Goldman Sachs) to protect. There are many other methods, all equally valid, that would assist in returning liquidity to the Credit markets. This is about confidence in lending; banks and others are all undermined by their own lapsed judgment in lending. The Federal Reserve is doing all it can by dropping additional hundreds of billions into the global markets but still the Commercial paper market remains frozen. If banks don't lend to each other then small businesses and individual borrowers suffer the most. It is possible that the Fed is overextending itself, more to follow on this I am sure.
The rest of it is that the markets do need to correct; we accept correction in every other market except this one? In any case, a bailout package should, at its core, provide relief to struggling home owners; there has to be a provision to allow borrowers to re-negotiate their loans with a fixed interest rate between 6.5% to 7% and a longer loan term of 40-50 years. The point is the loan amount remains the same but the payments become more affordable and when the markets return to health these borrowers will be able to refinance to a shorter term loan or better interest rate. This way the prudent people who did choose affordable loans do not feel punished for being prudent.
Dow drops 777.68 - A Day That Will Live in Infamy: The Dow suffered one of the worse days in history dropping nearly 500 points the instant the House vote was closed; it was already hovering around $280 points down pre-vote. We watched it in real time; most of my coworkers checked in on the CNN Money site which crashed momentarily; MarketWatch, my preferred choice, stood firm though refreshed at an agonizingly slow pace. All hell instantly broke loose; political spin, partisanship blaming; John McCain claiming credit for bringing together the bailout package then having to sidestep himself when it failed damningly by his own party. Ouch. Also John McCain appeared with Gov. Sarah Palin in a joint interview to save her from remarks she made about Pakistan that he criticized Obama for saying in the debate. Double Ouch.
Saturday Night Live Palin Skit Dead On: Yet another Sarah Palin skit was unveiled on Saturday night this weekend with a send-up of Gov. Palin's interview with Katie Couric. All it required was Tina Fey, who does a very convincing comic caricature of Palin, essentially espousing verbatim Palin's exact phrases from the interview. Hilarious but sad; Palin is living the Peter Principle. Enough said.
Last But Not Least: This is the most engrossing reality show on record as we watch our economy and politics explode, the Republican party implode and the Democratic party standing to bear the brunt of this economic disaster if Obama is elected. He will be blamed if the devastating outcomes of this debacle persist over the next 4 years and of course, it will be doubly damning because he is 1/2 a black man. Sad but true. At the end of the day, politics and fear aside, we all have to give ourselves a financial housekeeping. Plan for the worst and you will survive. The net effect of all of this is that decrease in consumer spending will kill our GDP splintering all industries and the credit card market will be next in line to send up its wave of bad debt. It does not look pretty out there. What were the economic terms that we had before "market correction?" Depression, recession, inflation? Think about McCain & Palin leading us through these times...try not to cringe while doing so.
Friday, September 26, 2008
A Few Words About the Presidential Debate
McCain was not able to fully convince us that his economic policy was sound; in fact after the charade of going to Washington to save the taxpayer from a debt worse than fate, he did nothing in this debate to comfort them. Obama showed a good grasp of foreign policy but more importantly he appeared confident and completely Presidential. For those not sure about voting for the black man, he sure gave them much to re-consider. Score this debate in favor of Obama.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Who Would Want to Lead This Country?
How is it that Sen. John
On another note, with Washington
Sadly, this is not a movie, this is the great meltdown of 2008. If you choose
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Bailout or Else: The GOP Politics of Fear in Full Swing Yet Again
Having now presided over the biggest economic collapse in recent history, George W. Bush and friends are out to convince the American people that the best and only solution is to hand over $700,000,000,000 to the Treasury Secretary to bail out Wall Street and that it should be done expeditiously and with as minimal oversight as possible. This Administration has perfected the Karl Rove politics of fear methods so completely and, unfortunately, so successfully that they have no qualms rolling it out whenever they need to force the hand of the American people.
Right now we are witnessing almost to the letter the same playbook used to rush us into war 6 years ago. Tonight the President spoke on television right before Congress is to go on break, like he did 6 years ago, giving us the old “act now or doom will befall you” speech. These same tactics were employed during Bush’s re-election campaign and are now being employed in more extreme fashion in John
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
You Want $700,000,000,000 for What?
When the value of real estate kept escalating, this type of securitized debt was a goldmine. Everybody made money and all was right with the world. The greater the risk, the higher the reward. Greed will make you forget the rules of the game; you start chasing the money-maker like a gambler caught up in the belief that if you bet more, you will win more. Soon you find yourself over-leveraged, your investors/backers get scared and call your debt but you don't have the capital to back it all. Las Vegas or Wall Street? Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers and others forgot the rules and ended up overexposed when mortgages started defaulting and the value of housing started to tumble. Investors got spooked and any perceived value in these bundles plummeted. To make matters worse, these securities were insured by insurers such as AIG giving us a house of cards situation. Ever tried to insure a bad asset? It is like having a pre-existing condition when you shop for health insurance.
How is the average American supposed to understand this? How are they supposed to understand that despite the greed, the big bonuses and rewards, we still have to bailout these be-ast-turds? Why? Perception. There is a complete lack of confidence in the financial markets. It is possible that some of these assets are worth more than we think, after all most of these mortgages are still backed by a real asset; brick and mortar construction. Real estate may lose value but rarely is anything worth zero. Perception is 9/10ths just like possession.
Who knows how this will all shake out. All I know is that for the average American to understand these complex credit instruments and to make a choice about anything based on this knowledge is impossible when the experts don't know what to make of it all. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson spent 30+ years on Wall Street and he is running to the government for an emergency loan of an unprecedented $700,000,000,000. What the hey? We are all supposed to figure this out by Friday? Good luck with that, taxpayer. Whatever the outcome, we will be fleeced!
Monday, September 22, 2008
Bailouts 'R Us
The Federal Government is now the money store. Financial companies get in line, they’re practically giving it away, even foreign banks will get a piece of the bailout pie. Small business people, we need to unite! When do we get our bailout? I would like the Federal Government to forgive the SBA loan used to purchase a franchise that, due to a series of unfortunate events, failed leaving us with mountains of debt. We accepted our lessons, licked our wounds and moved on pledging to pay down that debt while resigning ourselves to the enormous damper on our lifestyle for many years to come. We did not make any money or recognize any return on this investment; we took our knocks, plotted a new course of action and pressed on.
I know that our failure will not bring down world markets but it brought down ours. We were not greedy, we didn't overextend ourselves, we were not reckless and we worked very very hard. Sometimes things just don't work out but thankfully our prudent decision-making and prior savings allowed us to weather the financial setbacks that befell us. From our standpoint, the Wall Street bailouts, mortgage bailouts and other free passes are difficult to swallow. Besides struggling to pay for our own debt, we now have to pay for others. We know many small business-people; all are carrying a huge debt-load and struggling to make ends meet day-to-day. Where is their break? Where was ours?
Friday, September 19, 2008
Lies Lies and More Lies
How does the populace of a country in a time of deep economic and ideological crisis continue to accept these lies without complete and utter outrage? It is mind boggling to say the least. John McCain's campaign is based on character and 'country first' yet he has resorted to the type of egregious lying that not only typically defames one's character but completely underscores one's personal desire to win at any cost thus undermining the whole 'country first' mantra.
If the rules of the game are that whoever tells the most lies, wins; what does that say about the American people's judgment when it comes to choosing a leader? Good judgment is also one of the traits that John McCain claims is the mark of a good leader. John McCain exhibited poor judgment in the methods used to select his VP and continues to exercise poor judgment by choosing to lie repeatedly on the campaign trail. Haven’t we had enough lies and deceit over the past 8 years?
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Bailout Bonanza Continues to Prevent Trickle Down of Bad Debt
The Federal Government reversed itself after 2 days of record declines in the financial markets; it is pretty clear that there is no faith in the financial markets without the government guarantee. The mantra of “too big to fail” has completely taken over though I do not understand the criteria used to choose who wins and who loses. Why let Lehman fail but not AIG? As I write the Fed and the Congress are feverishly meeting to create a new government entity to buy up the rest of the bad debt out there. If this is the case, Lehman got a bum wrap.
Before George Bush was elected President, the discussion centered on his ability to ruin just about everything he touched. 9-11 saved him from himself for a while and delayed the inevitable. There was a point when he enjoyed incredible popularity much to my dismay, I might add. We were “winning” the war on terror and Americans improved their standard of living; trading up to bigger houses and better things because George Bush was right prosperity did trickle down. Unfortunately, we did not realize the sleight of hand; victory and prosperity were an illusion. And while the war rages on and the rest of us take on 2nd jobs and plunder our 401k’s to remain afloat, the government has chosen to bail out some of the richest companies in the world supposedly to prevent all of that bad debt from trickling down.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Finally The Financial Truth Flows Through the Markets
As you know, I knew these days were coming and I welcome them. We have to let the financial truth flow through the markets so we can figure out where we are so we can know where we have to go. All of the lies and propping up caused the market to disassociate from reality. The markets have been on a roller coaster ride this whole year because investors had no idea where to plant their feet. I have gone over all of this in previous posts.
I hope all of this fallout means we are getting closer to a financial reality based on the fundamentals. Yes things are terrible right now and I have always said that the market should reflect it. All we did was delay the inevitable; the government invested over $500,000,000,000 into trying to shore up the markets and it didn't help at all. Now investors are worried the government has over-extended itself.
I'd rather know the truth because knowledge is power; with the right information, we can find solutions. We have found them before and we will find them again. In the meantime, it is going to be terrible, I am not looking forward to going through any of it. At least we all know that we are in it together because that's all we have right now. We need to help each other as Americans first and people second.
All I can hope is that Americans do the right thing and elect the President that will bring us together. President Bush and the GOP have done nothing but divide Americans into nasty splinter groups blaming and re-blaming while they capitalize on our prejudicial weaknesses leaving us proving once again that there is truth in those unavoidable cliches:
UNITED WE STAND; DIVIDED WE FALL.
There is no way for McCain to bring us together and you all should know that by now. Do you really think he will inspire us to do anything? Ask yourselves deep down inside if lies, deception and downright nastiness is the way to help America. Obama will make mistakes, all Presidents do, but at least we will be United, something we have not been for a long, long, time.
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Taxpayers Bail Out AIG
Like I said yesterday Citizens, prepare yourselves!!! We are in it for good this time. One of
Why are we saving AIG and not Lehman Brothers? Yesterday, the government said it would no longer bail out private companies. Today they say if they don’t continue, our financial system will collapse; the number of companies deemed too big to fail is growing. Has anyone stopped to add up all of the bailouts this year? What is the total? How much debt will it take for the government to realize it too has reached its limit? Do you all still believe in the free market economy? If the market is supposed to find the best price, reward good business practice and regulate itself, then these companies should fail because others will take their place. Isn’t that the theory Republicans?
Wall Street can go ahead and jump for joy every time the government bails them out but they have no idea what misery will trickle down to the rest of
Debt has fueled growth for all of us. We all borrowed and things were fantastic. The middle class improved its standard of living on debt. Business improved its profits on debt and the Government paid for war, entitlements and subsidies with debt. Everyone was HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY! The debt has come due my friends and while we the middle class are now struggling to repay our debt the government is borrowing to pay for its debt and is called on to help big business pay their debt. The individual is held accountable but not big business?
WE ALL KNOW WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU BORROW FROM PETER TO PAY PAUL!!!
We are supposed to be one
The greatest country on earth is begging
Oh, that worked out real well.
Monday, September 15, 2008
R.I.P: More Wall Street Firms Go Bust
If you read me, you know that I have been screaming about the financial markets and all the debt that is being used to prop them up. Everyone kept telling me that I was being a “negative nelly” because I have been complaining that the unprecedented use of debt instruments was unsustainable. Every day we hear about more financial institutions who have bitten off more debt than they can chew; today we lost two more, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch.
Now I think it is particularly ironic that the Republican’s own economic policies have fed upon themselves. 168 yr old Lehman Brothers, one of the hallmarks of Wall Street has crumbled under the weight of the debt driven economy. Merrill Lynch skirted the same fate by selling itself to Bank of America. The venerable bull got beaten by its own financial bull$#!%.
Friday, September 12, 2008
Today I Found a Job
Today, against the tide of a declining economy, I found a job on Long Island. No matter the economy, even if
I am looking forward to starting my new job and garnering a paycheck and perhaps feeling just a tad more worthy now that I will be making a financial contribution to the household. It is a unique experience to be able to stay home and raise your children but it remains an incredibly challenging gap to overcome on a resume. Explaining to a potential employer your new found relevance is a daunting task after being out of the workplace for 6 years. Then, when you find your way back in, you still have to request concessions; you have to negotiate for flexibility because you cannot abandon your children’s carefully chosen trajectory.
Up until this point their path has been laden with extracurricular activities and unsparing parental involvement, some may call it indulgence, that is now threatened by your absence. Juggling and paying for after school care becomes a mad dance between you, the school, the school bus, the after care provider and most importantly their geography as I found out. The geographical boundaries of your child’s school take precedence, you can’t have a provider that is not in the geographical area serviced by your child’s school bus. OOps!
This is why people go "home" and/or move closer to their families when they have children because childcare and activity scheduling is practically impossible otherwise unless you have ample funds to afford it. One child is sometimes manageable but daycare for two children means a bill so large that it is more cost effective for someone to stay home. Generally, if you are rich, you can help yourself or poor, the government will help you; if you are middle class the choices mean the difference between realizing any benefits from working or working to pay for daycare in which case why go through the hassle and expense?
Nevertheless, I was kicking and screaming when I left work 6 years ago because I had suddenly lost my individual worth but after a while I realized I had regained it as a mother. Now, I have to go back to work, I am suffering in reverse, once again kicking and screaming but this time for interrupting my motherhood with work.
Thursday, September 11, 2008
September 11
For us, the most deeply rooted sentiment was that this day was business as usual, people going to work like we did everyday, ordinary people who work in office buildings, checking their email and reviewing their tasks for the day, abiding by the strict work ethic...that could have been us. At the time we both worked for a company that had clients in the building, on any given day he could have been there, but that day the only people who survived were the people who didn’t get to work on time, just that one day.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
To All Who Want to Vote for McCain
Dear Americans, we can sit here and bicker over the most trivial of matters and continue to take our eye off the ball. The elephant in the room is the economy. No matter how you slice it, the government has followed Reagan's trickle down economic theory for the past 8 years while deregulating more industries and allowing us to get into a war that is costing us $10,000,000,000 a MONTH.
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Why Can’t She Speak?
Sarah Palin has been in the race for almost 2 weeks now. She is running to be Vice President of the United States. The press, on behalf of the American people, has the right to ask questions; reserving or requesting special treatment for her undermines everything this woman has achieved.
Sarah Palin ran for Mayor and rose through the ranks until she ran for Governor. She should be disgusted that the McCain campaign is traipsing her out to stump the same convention speech day after day while sequestering her from answering any unscripted questions. McCain is really acting as if he doesn’t have any faith in her abilities. That is a shame. She should demand more respect than that; after all she is the Governor of a State; not a rinky-dink Senator.
Why does she need so much time to study for interviews? Her first quiz will be a lightweight gabfest with Charlie Gibson of ABC News later this week. Her silence and the need for all of these “crib notes” sessions makes the case more pressing; If she is really ready to be Vice President, why does she need so much prep time? What is the McCain camp afraid of? Why don't they trust her to speak for herself? Let her speak for herself! I, for one, want to know what she has to say.
Monday, September 8, 2008
Gov. Palin and Reproductive Rights
When McCain chose Palin to be his Vice President, she was heralded as the poster child for religious-right conservative values. Though she is an ambitious woman, do not be mistaken, she does not support any progressive women's rights; the most critical being reproductive rights. Gov. Palin is a fundamental pro-life advocate. Gov. Palin is against abortion even in cases of rape and incest. Women, think it through. If your daughter is raped or the child is a product of incest, do you really want to force your daughter to have that child? Men, do you?
Barack Obama stated in his acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention, “we may not agree on abortion but we can certainly agree on the fact that reducing unwanted pregnancy is vital to the abortion debate.” The single most substantive method of teen pregnancy prevention is education yet Governor Palin favors abstinence-only training in lieu of sex education. There is plenty of documented evidence showing that abstinence-only training does not work including within her family. Only education and contraception can prevent pregnancy; wishing that teenagers can put aside their hormones until marriage is not. Forcing a 17yr old to marry to remove the stigma of being an unwed mother is also not a solution.
Clearly, in a nation as diverse as
Women, if you choose Palin, you may be giving up your future choice. Men, if you choose Palin, you will help her take that choice away from all women. If you are pro-life, we respect your choice as you respect ours. Gov. Palin chose to have her baby; her daughter is choosing to have hers. I want my daughters to choose too and I certainly don’t want McCain and Palin attempting to uphold their views and enact legislation to stop all of us from having our choice.
Friday, September 5, 2008
Let’s Face Facts: The Republican Economic Policies Have Failed
Now that we have had time to digest both Political Conventions, the gloves are off. In the next 60 days Americans have to decide once and for all the direction of this country. Many people were impressed with both shows and it appears that the polls are neck and neck once again. While we all want what’s best for the country, we all need to do a little math and ask ourselves the age old question; “Are we better off today than we were 4 years ago; in this case 8 years ago?”
Though the following numbers are even worse now, these are documented facts as they are from the 2004 census:
The Republicans have run the country into the ground. They were the only ones who got rich here. The middle class is suffering under staggering debt and losing their homes. Meanwhile the government has already lent Wall Street Banks over $500 billion dollars and they still give themselves million dollar bonuses even when they fail.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
Republican National Convention: McCain Wraps it Up
After another round of biographic videos and speeches in praise of John McCain, the decorated war hero, POW and Senator, wooed crowds with his non-distancing from the policies of George W. Bush as if the mere act of not mentioning him by name, Bush and his father were referred to as the President of the United States and the 41st President respectively, would accomplish that task.
Comfortable in his new right-wing conservative blanket, John McCain ironically pitched his maverick self that has been MIA for some time as the agent of change to the very people who forced him to abandon the notion in the first place. Basically, the wrong Republicans are in office and he would be a better Republican. However, it was a gracious speech that had some nice touches and stayed away from the mocking negativity that permeated the arena yesterday. Cindy McCain’s speech and introduction of her husband was too long and, frankly, boring since the emphasis on war and service had been worn out after 3 days.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Republican National Convention: Gov. Palin Delivers to Base
Tonight’s line up of guests was an attack dog spectacle that pandered to and for the Republican base but not much of anybody else. Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee delivered although Mitt Romney faltered in believability. Once again the night centered on John McCain’s record of service with pointed jabs at Sen. Obama and the fact that he has completely surrendered to the Republican base. Gov. Palin arrived to thunderous applause and added her own two cents; long on the same rhetoric but short on her own introduction. Unfortunately, Rudy Giuliani spoke excessively long causing the RNC to nix the Sarah Palin biographic video, which I was really interested in seeing, and caused her speech to run past prime time. Maybe they will show it tomorrow.
It was strange to watch a set of people reach back to Ronald Reagan, bypassing both Presidents Bush entirely and completely, and with straight or actually condescending faces act like none of the problems that they were denouncing was caused by their very own party. No matter how much we all want to dismiss it; we have had a Republican President for the past 8 years with a Republican Congress for all but 2 of those years. Blaming big government; largely expanded by President Bush, blaming the democrats for wanting to quit the Iraq War; a War that Bush started and blaming Obama and the democrats/liberals for all the current ills as if the Republican’s had nothing to do with it. It felt very odd and cold to us watching from home but played very well inside the stadium.
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Republican National Convention: Drumroll Please!
At last the Republican National Convention begins after a 3 day barrage of “other news.” With trepidation receded about Hurricane Gustav and the new revelations about Gov. Sarah Palin taking their spin, the Republicans had one last hurdle; how to distance themselves from Pres. Bush. This was accomplished by beaming him in from the White House where he was presidentially monitoring storm conditions, I suppose, while his wife and parents were in
Nevertheless, the evening went well focusing on the slogans of “country first” and “service” wrapped up in a coating of “strong on defense.” John McCain’s military service was perfectly re-cast by Fred Thompson, former Senator and actor, in a rousing speech that stirred the stadium. First Lady Laura Bush delivered one of the most political speeches of her tenure by way of introduction to President Bush’s address which incidentally was much shorter than her introduction. Former Presidents Bush and Reagan were honored but the implication was that McCain followed closely on the heels of Reagan rather than the current President Bush.
The highlight of the evening was Sen. Joe Lieberman’s speech. Lieberman ran on the democratic ticket 8 years ago as Al Gore’s Vice Presidential pick and is currently classified as an Independent though he still refers to himself as a democrat and votes generally along democratic party lines. Lieberman’s speech was almost well received but it was hard to dismiss that the fact that the Republicans turned him down as McCain potential VP.
Monday, September 1, 2008
Labor Day Surprises
Hurricane Gustav narrowly misses